Author (year) | Study Characteristics | Study Outcomes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model type | Time horizon | Target foods | Type of intervention(s) | Voluntary or mandatory | Reduction in intake | Reduction in blood pressure (BP) | Life years gained and reduction in the incidence of health outcomes | Results on QOL measures | |
Cogswell et al. (2017) [29] | Mathematical/Statistical | Not modelled | All processed food | ↓28% in Na content (Health Canada Benchmarks) | Mandatory | 0.61 Na g/day (22%, UI = 0.59–0.63) | – | – | – |
Choi et al. (2016) [30] | Micro-simulation | 10y | All processed foods | Product reformulated to meet product-specific NSRI criteria extended to all food producers in the US | Mandatory | 0.365 (SE = 0.9) Na g/day (10.9%) | – | Hypertension: 0.97% | – |
All AMI: 2.59% | |||||||||
All strokes: 2.67% | |||||||||
Fatal AMI: 0.36% | |||||||||
Fatal Strokes: 0.23% | |||||||||
Food and Drink Industry Ireland (2016) [26] | Mathematical/Statistical | Not modelled | 10 Food macrocategories | Reformulation based on actual FDII voluntary programme | Mandatory extension of existing programme | 0.57 Na g/day (17.8%) in adults | – | – | – |
Voluntary | 0.06 Na g/day (2.3%) in adults | – | – | – | |||||
Leroy et al. (2016) [32] | Epidemiological | 1y | F&V, bread, meat, fish, sandwiches, sauces | Strong reformulation based on the Choices Programme criteria | Mandatory | 12.7% daily Na intake | – | Fatal CVD/Strokes deaths averted: 422 | – |
Cance deaths averted: 187 | |||||||||
Mild reformulation based on the Choices Programme criteria | Mandatory | 9.3% daily Na intake | – | CVD/Strokes and Cancer deaths averted: 2408 (3.7%) - due to total reductions in Na, SFA and sugar consumption combined | – | ||||
Masset et al. (2016) [25] | Mathematical/Statistical | Not modelled | Pizza | Reformulation to meet Nestlè Nutrient Profiling targets | Mandatory | 0.14 Na g/day (4%) | – | – | – |
Nghiem et al. (2016) [42] | Markov | Cohort life-time | All processed foods | 59% substitution of NaCl with other salts (K, Mg) | Mandatory | 1.82 Na g/day (51.5%) | – | – | 12,783 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 10,348–15,609) |
25% substitution of NaCl with other salts (K, Mg) | Mandatory | 0.77 Na g/day (21.8%) | – | – | 5261 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 4230–6391) | ||||
Bread | ↓38,5% in NaCl content | Mandatory | 0.28 Na g/day (7.9%) | – | – | 1891 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 1509–2296) | |||
↓11,1% in NaCl content | Mandatory | 0.08 Na g/day (2.3%) | – | – | 678 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 548–822) | ||||
Wilson et al. (2016) [43] | Markov | Cohort life-time | All processed foods (bread, processed meats, sauces, snack food, bakery, cheese) | ↓36% in NaCl content across product types | Mandatory | 0.628 Na g/day | – | – | 5304 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 4270–6478) |
Voluntary | Same efficacy with higher uncertainty | – | – | 5000 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 3709–6391) | |||||
Bread | ↓12–37% in NaCl content across bread types | Mandatory | 0.043 Na g/day | – | – | 387 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 309–470) | |||
Voluntary | Same efficacy with higher uncertainty | – | – | 365 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 270–461) | |||||
Processed meats | ↓35–55% in NaCl content overall | Mandatory | 0.069 Na g/day | – | – | 583 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 470–704) | |||
Voluntary | Same efficacy with higher uncertainty | – | – | 552 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 417–696) | |||||
Sauces | ↓30–63% in NaCl content across sauces types | Mandatory | 0.104 Na g/day | – | – | 870 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 700–1057) | |||
Voluntary | Same efficacy with higher uncertainty | – | – | 822 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 626–1039) | |||||
Combination of bread, processed meats and sauces | – | Mandatory | 0.217 Na g/day | – | – | 1843 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 1487–2239) | |||
Voluntary | Same efficacy with higher uncertainty | – | – | 1743 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 1326–2204) | |||||
Snack food | ↓34–48% in NaCl content across snacks types | Mandatory | 0.032 Na g/day | – | – | 265 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 217–322) | |||
Voluntary | Same efficacy with higher uncertainty | – | – | 252 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 191–317) | |||||
Bread and bakery products | ↓12–37% in NaCl content across bread types; ↓54–63% in NaCl content across other bakery products | Mandatory | 0.107 Na g/day | – | – | 887 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 722–1078) | |||
Voluntary | Same efficacy with higher uncertainty | – | – | 843 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 639–1061) | |||||
Cheese | ↓27–42% in NaCl content across cheese types | Mandatory | 0.045 Na g/day | – | – | 383 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 309–461) | |||
Voluntary | Same efficacy with higher uncertainty | – | – | 361 QALYs gained/100000 pop. (UI = 274–457) | |||||
Bruins et al. (2015) [45] | Mathematical/Statistical | Cohort life-time | Soups | ↓25% in Na content | Mandatory | 0.05 Na g/day | 0.11 mmHg | Strokes: 0.49% | 6.45 DALYs averted/100000 pop |
AMI: 0.34% | |||||||||
Angina: 0.34% | |||||||||
CHF: 0.24% | |||||||||
Dötsch-Klerk et al. (2015) [23] | Mathematical/Statistical | Not modelled | All processed foods | Products reformulated to meet the 6 g/day NaCl consumption target | Mandatory | US: 1.8 Na g/day (23%) | – | – | – |
UK: 1.8 Na g/day (27%) | – | – | – | ||||||
NL: 1.3 Na g/day (19%) | – | – | – | ||||||
Products reformulated to meet the 5 g/day NaCl consumption target | Mandatory | US: 2.2 Na g/day (28%) | – | – | – | ||||
UK: 2.1 Na g/day (32%) | – | – | – | ||||||
NL: 1.8 Na g/day (26%) | – | – | – | ||||||
Gillespie et al. (2015) [31] | Epidemiological | 10y | All processed foods | ↓30% in NaCl | Mandatory | 0.58 Na g/day (UI = 0.56–0.60) | 0.81 mmHg '(UI = 0.53–1.10) | CHD deaths averted or postponed: 4467 (UI = 2854–6147) | – |
↓10% in NaCl | Mandatory | 0.19 Na g/day (UI = 0.18–0.20) | 0.27 mmHg (UI = 0.18–0.37) | CHD deaths averted or postponed: 1502 (UI = 953–2068) | – | ||||
↓24% in NaCl | Voluntary (applied to 39% of products) | 0.19 Na g/day (UI = 0.03–0.63) | 0.27 mmHg (UI = 0.04–0.92) | CHD deaths averted or postponed: 1474 (UI = 220–4995) | – | ||||
Hendriksen et al. (2015) [22] | Mathematical/Statistical | Not modelled | Selected foods contributing to high intakes of NaCl | ↓50% in NaCl content on average | Mandatory | 0.9 Na g/day (37%) | – | – | – |
Nghiem et al. (2015) [46] | Markov | Cohort life-time | All processed foods | ↓25% in NaCl | Mandatory | 0.525 Na g/day (15%) | – | – | 4783 QALYs gained/100000 pop (UI = 3804–7174) |
Breads, processed meats and sauces | ↓25% in NaCl | Mandatory | 0.296 Na g/day (9%) | – | – | 2683 QALYs gained/100000 pop (UI = 2161–3256) | |||
Wilcox et al. (2015) [34] | Epidemiological | 10y | Not modelled | Not modelled | Mandatory | 0.005 Na g/day (10%) (UI = 0.003–0.021) | 1.15 mmHg (UI = 0.57–4.58) | CHD Deaths averted: 497 (UI = 130–3032) | – |
LYG: 11192 (UI = 5679–41,039) | – | ||||||||
Collins et al. (2014) [36] | Epidemiological | 10y | Not modelled | ↓15% in NaCl content overall | Voluntary | 1.21 Na g/day (UI = 0.32–1.94) | – | LYG: 14593(UI = 9000–21,049) | – |
↓20% in NaCl content overall | Mandatory | 1.62 Na g/day (UI = 0.65–3.11) | – | LYG: 19365(UI = 11,967–27,887) | – | ||||
Hendriksen et al. (2014) [47] | Markov | 20y (clinical outcomes); cohort life-time (DALYs) | All processed foods | ↓50% in NaCl content on average | Mandatory | 2.3 Na g/day (28%) | 1.5 mmHg (1.2%) | 4.4% AMI (UI = 3.1–5.6%) | 0.5% DALYs averted in the population (UI = 0.37–0.68%) |
CHF: 1.8% (UI = 1.3–2.3%) | |||||||||
Strokes: 6% (UI = 4.1–7.8%) | |||||||||
Increase in life expectancy: 0.7% (UI = 0.5–0.9%) | |||||||||
Mason et al. (2014) [53] | Epidemiological | 10y | Not modelled | Not modelled | Mandatory | 10% daily Na intake (UI = 5–40%) | – | Tunisia: LYG 2272 (UI = 1151–3361) | – |
Syria: LYG 11192 (UI = 5679–41,039) | |||||||||
Palestine: LYG 945 (UI = 479–3479) | |||||||||
Turkey: LYG 135221 (UI = 68,816–487,712) | |||||||||
Konfino et al. (2013) [37] | Markov | 10y | All processed foods | ↓8% in NaCl intake (stepped reduction by 4% for the first 2y) | Mandatory (80% of sodium from processed foods) | 0.353 Na g/day | 1.00–2.00 mmHg | Total Deaths: 0.61% | – |
Fatal CHD: 0.98% | |||||||||
AMI: 1.48% | |||||||||
Strokes: 0.99% | |||||||||
↓40% in NaCl intake (4% per year for 10y) | Mandatory (80% of sodium from processed foods) | 1.763 Na g/day | 5.00–9.00 mmHg | Total Deaths: 1.77% | – | ||||
Fatal CHD: 2.63% | |||||||||
AMI: 4.27% | |||||||||
Strokes: 2.79% | |||||||||
Bertram et al. (2012) [38] | Epidemiological | 1y | Bread, margarine, gravy, soups | ↓54% in NaCl content on average | Mandatory | 0.85 Na g/day | – | Strokes: 8% | – |
CHD: 6.5% | |||||||||
Hypertensive heart disease: 11% | |||||||||
Cobiac et al. (2012) [48] | Markov | Cohort life-time | Bread, margarine, breakfast cereals | Based on Heart Foundation Tick Programme: ↓26% in NaCl content in bread; 11% in margarine and 61% in breakfast cereals | Mandatory | 0.009 Na g/day | – | – | 1451 DALYs averted/100000 pop (UI = 1088–1813) |
Combris et al. (2011) [8] | Mathematical/Statistical | Not modelled | Breakfast cereals | Mild to strong reformulation based on food nutrient distribution | Mandatory | 0.001–0.013 Na g/day (1.4–13.5%) | – | – | – |
Biscuits/ pastries | 0.0003–0.002 Na g/day (1.70–10.81%) | – | – | – | |||||
Bread-based products | 0.0023–0.013 Na g/day (1.60–8.8%) | – | – | – | |||||
Cobiac et al. (2010) [49] | Epidemiological | Cohort life-time | Bread, margarine, breakfast cereals | Based on Heart Foundation Tick Programme: ↓26% in NaCl content in bread; 11% in margarine and 61% in breakfast cereals | Voluntary | 0.009 Na g/day | – | – | 5300 DALYs averted (UI = 2600–9200) |
Mandatory extension of actual program to all products | – | – | – | 110,000 DALYs averted (UI = 53,000–180,000) | |||||
Smith-Spangler et al. (2010) [50] | Markov | Cohort life-time | Not modelled | Not modelled | Voluntary | 9.5% daily Na intake (UI = 5–40%) | 1.25 mmHg | Strokes averted: 513885 | 2,060,790 DALYs averted |
AMI averted: 480538 | |||||||||
Roodenburg et al. (2009) [27] | Mathematical/Statistical | Not modelled | All processed foods | Reformulation set to meet Choices Programme criteria | Mandatory | 23% daily Na intake (10% adjusting for energy compensation) | – | – | – |
Rubinstein et al. (2009) [51] | Markov | Cohort life-time | Bread | ↓ to 1 g of NaCl per 100 g of bread | Voluntary | – | 1.33 mmHg | – | 18.7 DALYs averted/100000 pop |
Murray et al. (2003) [52] | Markov | Cohort life-time | Not modelled | Not modelled | Mandatory | Assumed 30% Na Intake | AmrB: 3.11% on average | – | 600,000 DALYs averted |
EurA: 3.49% on average | – | 1,300,000 DALYs averted | |||||||
SearD: 3.49% on average | – | 1,000,000 DALYs averted | |||||||
Voluntary | Assumed 15% Na Intake | AmrB: 1.56% on average | – | 300,000 DALYs averted in the population | |||||
EurA: 1.74% on average | – | 700,000 DALYs averted in the population | |||||||
SearD: 1.75% on average | – | 500,000 DALYs averted in the population |